gendy
Цитата:
Откуда мне знать, где они оригинал взяли?
Насколько я понял, на http://www.stratfor.com/ для всеобщего пользования ничего не выкладывают, подписываться надо. Но кое-что можно найти:
http://66.102.9.104/search?q=cache:TzdazB4xH8QJ:www.crchurches.net/subscribe/CRC-Voices/online/thisweek/0082.html+Debating+Russia%27s+Fate&hl=ru
">Discussion of internal Russian affairs -- the status of democracy there --
>similarly drives home the inequality of the relationship. So, too, does
>the attempt to equate the Soviet occupation of the Baltics with the Nazi
>occupation, with Bush administration leaders saying that the fall of Adolf
>Hitler did not end oppression. All of this is designed rhetorically to put
>Russia on the defensive, just as it has been put on the defensive
>geopolitically.
>
>The Russian decline and the U.S. exploitation of the situation have taken
>us to the breakpoint. If Ukraine is lost to Moscow, if Georgia becomes the
>dominant power in the Caucasus, if events in Kyrgyzstan are extended to
>the rest of Central Asia -- all of which are very easy to imagine -- it
>will be difficult to imagine the survival of the Russian Federation. We
>will see a second devolution in which parts of the Federation peel off.
>Russia, as we know it today, will be finished.
>
>It is not clear that the Russians have the will to recover. Putin seems to
>be struggling with internal and external demons, and his heir is not
>apparent. However, if Russia is going to make an attempt to recover, now
>is the time when it will have to happen. Another year and there might not
>be any chance. It might already be too late, but the Russians have little
>to lose. It is really a case of now or never.
>
>Russia will never have a vibrant economy. In the long run, centralized
>command economies don't work. But neither does capitalism in Russia. A
>centralized economy can do remarkable things in the short run, however.
>Russia is particularly noted for short-term, unbalanced spurts --
>sometimes with the government using terror as a tool, sometimes not.
>
>It must always be remembered how quickly military power can be recovered.
>Germany went from a collapsed military in 1932 to Great Power status in
>five or six years. Economic authoritarianism, coupled with a pre-existing
>skilled officer class, transformed Germany's strategic position. It is not
>wise, therefore, to assume that Russia cannot recover significant military
>force if it has the will to do so. It might not become a superpower, but
>Great Power status -- even with an impoverished population -- is not
>beyond its capabilities. We have seen Russia achieve this in the past.
>
>It therefore makes sense that the United States has been consolidating and
>extending its position in the former Soviet Union during the past few
>months. Russia can recover, but only if given time. The United States,
>having no desire to see Russia recover, doesn't intend to give it time.
>Washington intends to present Moscow with a reality that is so unfavorable
>that it cannot be reversed. Russia is close to that situation right now,
>but in our opinion, not yet there. A window is open that will close shortly.
>
>The question is simple: Will the Russians grab what might be a last
>chance, or are they just too tired to care?"
Вот ещё полный текст (здесь читать удобнее):
http://forum.vif2.ru:2003/nvk/forum/3/co/C44A59B8/766
Добавлено:
Всё не так уж плохо: Европа нам поможет
Европарламент призывает спасать марийскую культуру от России
http://www.rosbalt.ru/2005/05/13/208335.html
Цитата:
а моно ссылочку на оригинал
Откуда мне знать, где они оригинал взяли?
Насколько я понял, на http://www.stratfor.com/ для всеобщего пользования ничего не выкладывают, подписываться надо. Но кое-что можно найти:
http://66.102.9.104/search?q=cache:TzdazB4xH8QJ:www.crchurches.net/subscribe/CRC-Voices/online/thisweek/0082.html+Debating+Russia%27s+Fate&hl=ru
">Discussion of internal Russian affairs -- the status of democracy there --
>similarly drives home the inequality of the relationship. So, too, does
>the attempt to equate the Soviet occupation of the Baltics with the Nazi
>occupation, with Bush administration leaders saying that the fall of Adolf
>Hitler did not end oppression. All of this is designed rhetorically to put
>Russia on the defensive, just as it has been put on the defensive
>geopolitically.
>
>The Russian decline and the U.S. exploitation of the situation have taken
>us to the breakpoint. If Ukraine is lost to Moscow, if Georgia becomes the
>dominant power in the Caucasus, if events in Kyrgyzstan are extended to
>the rest of Central Asia -- all of which are very easy to imagine -- it
>will be difficult to imagine the survival of the Russian Federation. We
>will see a second devolution in which parts of the Federation peel off.
>Russia, as we know it today, will be finished.
>
>It is not clear that the Russians have the will to recover. Putin seems to
>be struggling with internal and external demons, and his heir is not
>apparent. However, if Russia is going to make an attempt to recover, now
>is the time when it will have to happen. Another year and there might not
>be any chance. It might already be too late, but the Russians have little
>to lose. It is really a case of now or never.
>
>Russia will never have a vibrant economy. In the long run, centralized
>command economies don't work. But neither does capitalism in Russia. A
>centralized economy can do remarkable things in the short run, however.
>Russia is particularly noted for short-term, unbalanced spurts --
>sometimes with the government using terror as a tool, sometimes not.
>
>It must always be remembered how quickly military power can be recovered.
>Germany went from a collapsed military in 1932 to Great Power status in
>five or six years. Economic authoritarianism, coupled with a pre-existing
>skilled officer class, transformed Germany's strategic position. It is not
>wise, therefore, to assume that Russia cannot recover significant military
>force if it has the will to do so. It might not become a superpower, but
>Great Power status -- even with an impoverished population -- is not
>beyond its capabilities. We have seen Russia achieve this in the past.
>
>It therefore makes sense that the United States has been consolidating and
>extending its position in the former Soviet Union during the past few
>months. Russia can recover, but only if given time. The United States,
>having no desire to see Russia recover, doesn't intend to give it time.
>Washington intends to present Moscow with a reality that is so unfavorable
>that it cannot be reversed. Russia is close to that situation right now,
>but in our opinion, not yet there. A window is open that will close shortly.
>
>The question is simple: Will the Russians grab what might be a last
>chance, or are they just too tired to care?"
Вот ещё полный текст (здесь читать удобнее):
http://forum.vif2.ru:2003/nvk/forum/3/co/C44A59B8/766
Добавлено:
Всё не так уж плохо: Европа нам поможет
Европарламент призывает спасать марийскую культуру от России
http://www.rosbalt.ru/2005/05/13/208335.html
